Sunday, September 22, 2013

State of the Race: September 22, 2013

This chart was generated from the Pollster poll of polls with two alterations to the Pollster model:

1) The default percentage range for Pollster is 20% to 55%. I have altered that range to 5% to 55% so that Libertarian Robert Sarvis' numbers are visible.

2) I have excluded the results of two polls performed by Roanoke College. Roanoke College's polls last year were revealed to be wildly inaccurate and skewed, and the two polls they have performed this year are wildly inconsistent with the results of all other polls. Roanoke College simply has nothing useful to contribute, so I have excluded them.

What is the takeaway from this poll of polls? This race is close: very close. It will be determined by voter turnout, which means that if you care about the outcome of this election it is time for you to volunteer to make calls or canvass.

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