Wednesday, October 27, 2010

A prediction in the 5th

Tom Periello has shown himself to be not just one of the best members of Congress, but also one of the hardest working and skilled campaigners. Periello has held this race to within a few points and because contemporary polling always underestimates Democratic turnout because of the large number of Democrats who no longer have land line telephones and are therefore not polled, I am going to make the following prediction . . .

If the polls have Hurt ahead by less than two and a half points the day before election day, then Tom Periello wins this. In the actual election, Tom Periello will poll well ahead of the defective polling that has been produced in this race. And let's face it: Periello has earned it and Hurt hasn't.

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